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Red190
347659.1
501239.8
656053.7
Blue156
59942.6
29457.2
39947.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158155120140180200190156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
+22Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
21Coral scored#26
74Coral points92
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#5
12Processor points12
36Net points20
48Algae points32
122Total teleop124
Reef
11L4#8
8L3#11
2L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#38
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +34
12Foul points0
190Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.6
58.058.6
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
red by 1.9
294
#8
57.20.2
56.656.8
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
Second
53.70.6
52.653.2
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
red by 6.3
399
#3
47.40.2
46.747.0
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
Third
5012
#21
39.80.6
38.739.4
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
blue by 2.8
599
#30
42.60.2
42.042.2
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2