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Red200
84663.4
412353.9
116039.1
Blue182
366944.2
715750.3
263741.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154138100200250200182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+38Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points40
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +34
29Coral scored#22
106Coral points78
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
140Total teleop106
Reef
13L4#14
9L3#8
9L2#4
7L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
200Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#5
63.41.2
59.260.5
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
red by 13.0
7157
#10
50.31.1
49.250.3
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
4123
#16
53.91.2
49.751.0
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
red by 9.7
3669
#15
44.21.1
43.144.2
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
Third
1160
#25
39.11.2
34.936.2
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
blue by 2.1
41.11.1
40.041.1
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1