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Red169
59942.6
29457.2
39947.4
Blue151
704240.6
258438.6
441949.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16213580100120180200220240169151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+40Teleop
+20Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
23Coral scored#22
81Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
119Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#7
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points2
169Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#8
57.20.5
56.857.3
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
red by 7.3
4419
#12
49.90.5
49.449.9
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
Second
399
#3
47.40.5
47.047.5
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
red by 6.8
7042
#11
40.60.5
40.140.6
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
Third
599
#30
42.60.5
42.242.8
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
red by 4.1
2584
#32
38.60.5
38.138.6
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5