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Red191
441574.8
68734.6
519969.7
Blue171
347659.1
501239.8
656053.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185152100200250191171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
24Coral scored#25
85Coral points91
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
125Total teleop115
Reef
11L4#14
7L3#5
8L2#8
6L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
191Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.2
73.974.1
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 15.8
59.10.4
58.659.0
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
Second
5199
#19
69.70.2
68.869.0
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
red by 16.0
53.70.4
53.253.7
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
Third
687
#28
34.60.2
33.733.8
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
blue by 5.3
5012
#21
39.80.4
39.439.8
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3