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Red263
25490.2
220441.0
427079.9
Blue204
803377.4
97258.5
879338.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220176100150200250263204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+41Teleop
+47Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
12Coral scored#8
58Coral points41
58Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +33
36Coral scored#28
129Coral points100
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
167Total teleop134
Reef
20L4#14
10L3#8
9L2#10
9L1 · trough#4
56Game pieces#43
BargeRed +6
26Cage & park20
26Total endgame20
Penalties & totalRed +59
12Foul points0
263Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
90.20.9
89.390.2
Auto20.8
Teleop59.0
End10.5
red by 12.8
77.40.7
76.777.4
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
Second
79.90.9
79.079.9
Auto17.9
Teleop51.3
End10.7
red by 21.4
972
#4
58.50.7
57.858.5
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Third
2204
#36
41.00.9
40.041.0
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
red by 2.6
8793
#26
38.40.7
37.738.4
Auto11.6
Teleop22.6
End4.2