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Red239
25490.2
220441.0
427079.9
Blue220
803377.4
97258.5
879338.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218173100150200250239220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points38
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +26
28Coral scored#28
99Coral points101
6Processor algae#4
11Net algae#7
36Processor points24
44Net points28
80Algae points52
179Total teleop153
Reef
9L4#11
14L3#10
6L2#9
7L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
239Total score220

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
90.20.7
88.689.3
Auto20.8
Teleop59.0
End10.5
red by 12.8
77.41.1
75.676.7
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
Second
79.90.7
78.279.0
Auto17.9
Teleop51.3
End10.7
red by 21.4
972
#4
58.51.1
56.657.8
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Third
2204
#36
41.00.7
39.340.0
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
red by 2.6
8793
#26
38.41.1
36.537.7
Auto11.6
Teleop22.6
End4.2