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Red205
541962.7
1020237.0
550764.3
Blue217
803377.4
97258.5
879338.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641760100200300400500205217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
11Coral scored#8
56Coral points41
65Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +28
23Coral scored#31
82Coral points110
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
116Total teleop144
Reef
14L4#16
9L3#12
8L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
205Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.0
63.364.3
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
blue by 13.1
77.41.1
74.475.6
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
Second
62.71.0
61.762.7
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
red by 4.2
972
#4
58.51.1
55.556.6
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Third
37.01.0
36.037.0
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3
blue by 1.4
8793
#26
38.41.1
35.436.5
Auto11.6
Teleop22.6
End4.2