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Red138
66817.1
418626.1
641848.4
Blue40
598519.9
1050017.5
497312.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866305010015020025013840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+92Teleop
+92Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +75
21Coral scored#6
75Coral points20
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
105Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#2
6L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
6Foul points0
138Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#12
48.43.0
35.838.7
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
red by 28.5
5985
#50
19.92.2
20.918.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
4186
#35
26.13.3
24.027.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
red by 8.6
10500
#30DQ
17.53.1
17.514.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.0
End1.5
Third
668
#17
17.13.0
13.716.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End5.0
red by 4.2
4973
#54
12.82.2
19.317.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed