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Red61
912523.3
801632.3
33909.1
Blue98
920211.1
186835.5
1020237.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728202040601001201401606198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +42
7Coral scored#16
25Coral points59
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
33Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
12Foul points0
61Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8016
#38
32.31.4
29.528.1
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End2.3
blue by 4.6
37.02.3
24.226.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3
Second
9125
#39
23.31.2
20.419.2
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End0.4
blue by 12.1
1868
#11
35.51.7
29.230.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.8
End4.3
Third
3390
#53
9.12.0
17.315.3
Auto0.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 2.0
9202
#44
11.12.9
18.921.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed