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Red65
1022112.2
25322.4
476533.7
Blue84
517144.8
466930.2
605925.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787740601001206584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
52Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
65Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4765
#37
33.70.1
34.634.7
Auto3.2
Teleop28.9
End1.6
blue by 11.1
5171
#13
44.80.3
35.135.4
Auto10.9
Teleop26.8
End7.1
Second
253
#25
22.40.1
10.710.8
Auto3.0
Teleop16.7
End2.6
blue by 7.8
30.20.4
23.223.6
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Third
12.25.8
12.218.0
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End1.7
blue by 13.7
6059
#10
25.90.3
14.815.1
Auto5.2
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned