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Red27
466930.2
1033915.8
1050017.5
Blue115
128023.8
879338.4
517144.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5789020408010012014016027115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+66
Endgame+86
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points22
12Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +50
3Coral scored#14
11Coral points51
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
15Total teleop65
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
5Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +20
0Cage & park20
0Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
0Foul points2
27Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.9
23.621.7
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End2.0
blue by 14.6
5171
#13
44.82.4
35.437.8
Auto10.9
Teleop26.8
End7.1
Second
17.53.2
14.511.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.0
End1.5
blue by 20.9
8793
#26
38.42.4
26.028.4
Auto11.6
Teleop22.6
End4.2
Third
15.81.9
17.715.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 8.0
1280
#24
23.82.4
15.517.9
Auto4.3
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned