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Red122
641848.4
912523.3
186835.5
Blue119
64933.2
285431.2
418626.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029020406080120140160180122119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
85Total teleop90
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
122Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#12
48.41.2
38.740.0
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
red by 15.1
649
#31
33.22.0
23.725.7
Auto8.5
Teleop22.5
End2.2
Second
1868
#11
35.51.2
30.932.1
Auto10.4
Teleop20.8
End4.3
red by 4.3
2854
#21
31.22.0
26.728.7
Auto6.2
Teleop22.7
End2.3
Third
9125
#39
23.31.2
19.220.4
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End0.4
blue by 2.8
4186
#35
26.12.0
27.229.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed