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Red138
549930.7
1024619.6
427079.9
Blue131
623857.5
58928.9
903848.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451106080100120160180200138131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#21
52Coral points75
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
96Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
138Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.0
79.279.1
Auto17.9
Teleop51.3
End10.7
red by 22.5
57.51.3
39.440.6
Auto8.1
Teleop41.5
End7.8
Second
5499
#43
30.70.0
33.633.6
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End1.2
blue by 17.6
9038
#29
48.31.4
40.141.5
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
Third
19.61.9
19.617.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.6
blue by 9.3
589
#40
28.91.7
27.329.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned