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Red55
220441.0
425516.0
97819.8
Blue200
25490.2
76651.7
499027.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6517405010015020025055200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+89
Endgame+103
Fouls+145
AutonomousBlue +9
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
1Coral points13
10Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +80
8Coral scored#23
29Coral points83
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
6Processor points24
8Net points16
14Algae points40
43Total teleop123
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#9
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +145
0Foul points42
55Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2204
#36
41.01.2
34.833.7
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
blue by 49.2
254
#1
90.20.6
79.680.1
Auto20.8
Teleop59.0
End10.5
Second
4255
#49
16.01.4
22.120.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.7
blue by 35.7
766
#22
51.70.6
51.051.6
Auto7.4
Teleop38.4
End5.9
Third
9781
#42
9.81.9
15.313.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 17.7
4990
#32
27.50.6
18.919.5
Auto5.3
Teleop20.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned