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Red182
885251.1
348249.8
97258.5
Blue81
58928.9
220441.0
549930.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136955015020018281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+99Teleop
+101Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +82
29Coral scored#13
106Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
140Total teleop58
Reef
18L4#6
6L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
0Foul points0
182Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#4
58.53.6
39.943.5
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
red by 17.5
2204
#36
41.01.0
33.732.6
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
Second
8852
#33
51.13.6
47.851.4
Auto13.4
Teleop37.5
End0.2
red by 20.4
5499
#43
30.71.0
33.632.6
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Third
3482
#14
49.83.6
40.644.2
Auto12.8
Teleop35.8
End1.3
red by 20.9
589
#40
28.91.2
29.027.8
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsMissed