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Red106
84156.6
1022112.2
64933.2
Blue112
879338.4
76651.7
912523.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99110050150200250300350106112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
26Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
76Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
106Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#20
56.61.0
50.351.3
Auto9.8
Teleop40.8
End6.1
red by 4.9
766
#22
51.70.8
51.652.4
Auto7.4
Teleop38.4
End5.9
Second
649
#31
33.21.0
25.726.7
Auto8.5
Teleop22.5
End2.2
blue by 5.2
8793
#26
38.40.8
28.429.2
Auto11.6
Teleop22.6
End4.2
Third
12.21.7
14.916.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End1.7
blue by 11.1
9125
#39
23.30.8
20.421.2
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed