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Red60
186835.5
1033915.8
911116.9
Blue117
425516.0
541962.7
605925.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710105015060117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+57
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +54
4Coral scored#13
15Coral points47
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
23Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
60Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#11
35.50.3
32.131.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.8
End4.3
blue by 27.2
62.72.0
53.255.2
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
Second
9111
#34
16.90.6
17.216.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 9.0
6059
#10
25.92.0
15.417.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
10339
#52Sur
15.80.3
15.815.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 0.2
4255
#49
16.02.0
19.021.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned