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Red97
681431.7
499027.5
214124.7
Blue108
25322.4
128023.8
803377.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7411505010015097108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
72Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
97Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6814
#41
31.71.4
28.830.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.3
End1.3
blue by 45.7
77.40.3
67.267.5
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
Second
4990
#32
27.51.4
21.122.5
Auto5.3
Teleop20.3
End1.9
red by 3.7
1280
#24
23.80.3
17.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Third
2141
#27
24.72.3
20.823.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.7
End1.3
red by 2.4
253
#25
22.40.3
12.412.7
Auto3.0
Teleop16.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned