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Red109
698530.9
920211.1
97258.5
Blue124
641848.4
1020237.0
1024619.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10687050150200250300109124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+63
Endgame+55
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +49
6Coral scored#17
23Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
41Total teleop90
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
42Foul points2
109Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#4
58.52.0
43.541.5
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
red by 10.1
6418
#12
48.42.6
40.042.6
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
Second
6985
#28
30.92.4
27.224.8
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End4.3
blue by 6.1
37.02.9
27.230.2
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3
Third
9202
#44
11.13.3
26.022.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.4
End1.3
blue by 8.5
19.64.4
15.219.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed