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Red80
97819.8
135149.6
801632.3
Blue42
255121.5
497312.8
549930.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95752040601201401608042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#4
43Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
57Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
80Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#18
49.60.9
45.744.8
Auto16.2
Teleop31.6
End1.7
red by 18.9
5499
#43
30.72.0
32.630.5
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Second
8016
#38
32.30.9
29.528.6
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End2.3
red by 10.9
2551
#45
21.52.0
24.622.6
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End2.7
Third
9781
#42
9.81.5
12.110.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 3.0
4973
#54
12.82.0
15.213.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed