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Red166
84156.6
903848.3
285431.2
Blue127
348249.8
550764.3
1025218.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132114050150200250300350166127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
8Coral scored#8
40Coral points39
46Total auto42
TeleoperatedRed +47
19Coral scored#9
68Coral points31
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
106Total teleop59
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points12
166Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#20
56.62.9
51.354.2
Auto9.8
Teleop40.8
End6.1
blue by 7.7
64.30.5
48.048.5
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
Second
9038
#29
48.32.9
40.042.9
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
blue by 1.5
3482
#14
49.80.5
44.244.7
Auto12.8
Teleop35.8
End1.3
Third
2854
#21
31.22.9
27.630.5
Auto6.2
Teleop22.7
End2.3
red by 12.3
18.90.5
13.113.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned