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Red58
425516.0
466930.2
549930.7
Blue141
803377.4
1020237.0
64933.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7114205010020058141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+65
Endgame+77
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +48
10Coral scored#20
35Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
45Total teleop93
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#6
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
12Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points6
58Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#43
30.71.7
30.528.8
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End1.2
blue by 46.7
77.40.0
67.567.5
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
Second
30.21.7
23.121.4
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End2.0
blue by 6.8
37.00.0
30.230.1
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3
Third
4255
#49
16.01.7
21.019.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.7
blue by 17.2
649
#31
33.20.0
26.726.7
Auto8.5
Teleop22.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned