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Red116
25322.4
84156.6
497312.8
Blue39
1024619.6
285431.2
920211.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907905010015011639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+57Teleop
+65Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +60
16Coral scored#4
57Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
81Total teleop21
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
12Foul points0
116Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#20
56.61.6
54.255.8
Auto9.8
Teleop40.8
End6.1
red by 25.4
2854
#21
31.22.3
30.528.3
Auto6.2
Teleop22.7
End2.3
Second
253
#25
22.41.6
12.714.3
Auto3.0
Teleop16.7
End2.6
red by 2.7
19.63.8
19.615.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Third
4973
#54
12.81.6
13.214.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End-0.1
red by 1.7
9202
#44
11.13.8
22.718.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed