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Red114
592429.4
641848.4
804521.6
Blue185
135149.6
541962.7
348249.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8816450100150200250114185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+61
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
30Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +48
18Coral scored#19
66Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#10
6Processor points18
8Net points40
14Algae points58
80Total teleop128
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#9
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
114Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#12
48.40.7
42.643.3
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
blue by 14.3
62.71.8
55.256.9
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
Second
5924
#15
29.40.7
26.927.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End3.2
blue by 20.5
3482
#14
49.81.8
44.746.4
Auto12.8
Teleop35.8
End1.3
Third
8045
#46
21.61.2
19.720.9
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End2.6
blue by 28.0
1351
#18
49.61.8
44.846.6
Auto16.2
Teleop31.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned