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Red134
1025218.9
427079.9
76651.7
Blue115
801632.3
476533.7
1050017.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17275050100150200250134115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
87Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#4
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
4Foul points10
134Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.91.8
78.476.6
Auto17.9
Teleop51.3
End10.7
red by 46.2
4765
#37
33.71.1
36.737.8
Auto3.2
Teleop28.9
End1.6
Second
766
#22
51.71.8
54.452.5
Auto7.4
Teleop38.4
End5.9
red by 19.4
8016
#38
32.31.1
28.629.7
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End2.3
Third
18.91.8
13.611.8
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End1.6
red by 1.4
17.51.8
12.514.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsEarned