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Red138
19924.9
623857.5
220441.0
Blue35
1022112.2
33909.1
255121.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11448010015020013835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+87Teleop
+97Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +63
17Coral scored#5
62Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
86Total teleop23
Reef
8L4#1
7L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
6Foul points0
138Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.51.8
41.543.3
Auto8.1
Teleop41.5
End7.8
red by 36.0
2551
#45
21.51.4
22.621.2
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End2.7
Second
2204
#36
41.01.8
33.335.2
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
red by 28.8
12.22.4
16.614.2
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End1.7
Third
199
#8
24.91.8
21.523.3
Auto6.1
Teleop17.8
End1.0
red by 15.8
3390
#53
9.12.4
11.49.0
Auto0.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed