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Red59
499027.5
255121.5
1024619.6
Blue66
214124.7
1050017.5
76651.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641100501001505966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
35Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
8Foul points0
59Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4990
#32
27.50.7
23.823.2
Auto5.3
Teleop20.3
End1.9
blue by 24.2
766
#22
51.71.7
52.550.9
Auto7.4
Teleop38.4
End5.9
Second
2551
#45
21.50.7
21.220.5
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End2.7
blue by 3.3
2141
#27
24.72.8
24.421.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.7
End1.3
Third
19.61.1
15.814.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 2.1
17.52.8
14.311.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed