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Red76
541962.7
72459.4
911116.9
Blue161
466930.2
801632.3
623857.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910405015020076161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+71
Endgame+73
Fouls+85
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +74
6Coral scored#21
23Coral points75
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
41Total teleop115
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points12
76Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.7
56.956.2
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
red by 5.2
57.53.2
43.346.5
Auto8.1
Teleop41.5
End7.8
Second
9111
#34
16.91.2
19.318.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 15.5
8016
#38
32.33.2
29.732.9
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End2.3
Third
7245
#51
9.40.7
10.810.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.2
blue by 20.8
30.23.2
21.424.6
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned