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Red132
903848.3
348249.8
698530.9
Blue82
476533.7
912523.3
517144.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131110608010012014016018020013282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
20Coral scored#10
72Coral points36
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
92Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
132Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#14
49.81.0
46.447.5
Auto12.8
Teleop35.8
End1.3
red by 5.0
5171
#13
44.81.2
40.439.1
Auto10.9
Teleop26.8
End7.1
Second
9038
#29
48.31.0
45.346.3
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
red by 14.6
4765
#37
33.71.2
37.836.5
Auto3.2
Teleop28.9
End1.6
Third
6985
#28
30.91.0
24.725.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End4.3
red by 7.6
9125
#39
23.31.2
22.521.3
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed