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Red104
135149.6
58928.9
66817.1
Blue142
803377.4
418626.1
220441.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10415750200104142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+48
Endgame+40
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points31
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +30
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
69Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#10
3L3#6
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#32
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
2Foul points0
104Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#18
49.60.4
46.647.0
Auto16.2
Teleop31.6
End1.7
blue by 27.8
77.40.6
67.568.0
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
Second
589
#40
28.90.4
30.430.8
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End7.8
blue by 12.1
2204
#36
41.00.6
35.235.7
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
Third
668
#17
17.10.4
18.619.0
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End5.0
blue by 9.0
4186
#35
26.10.6
30.931.5
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed