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Red49
1033915.8
76651.7
920211.1
Blue125
911116.9
427079.9
598519.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911322040608010012014016018049125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+66
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave9
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
26Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
8Foul points8
49Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#22
51.74.0
50.946.9
Auto7.4
Teleop38.4
End5.9
blue by 28.2
79.90.6
76.175.5
Auto17.9
Teleop51.3
End10.7
Second
15.84.0
18.114.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 4.2
5985
#50
19.90.6
17.817.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
9202
#44
11.16.6
17.410.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.4
End1.3
blue by 5.7
9111
#34
16.91.0
18.017.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned