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Red141
517144.8
497312.8
903848.3
Blue190
97258.5
499027.5
623857.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213050150200141190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave9
7Coral scored#3
36Coral points17
42Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +45
18Coral scored#29
65Coral points104
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
93Total teleop138
Reef
10L4#13
7L3#8
3L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
2Foul points2
141Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9038
#29
48.32.0
46.348.3
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
blue by 10.2
972
#4
58.53.9
48.652.5
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Second
5171
#13
44.82.0
39.141.1
Auto10.9
Teleop26.8
End7.1
blue by 12.7
57.53.9
46.550.4
Auto8.1
Teleop41.5
End7.8
Third
4973
#54
12.82.0
12.914.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End-0.1
blue by 14.7
4990
#32
27.53.9
23.227.1
Auto5.3
Teleop20.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned