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Red82
19924.9
549930.7
1020237.0
Blue175
418626.1
84156.6
541962.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871645010015020025082175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+67
Endgame+93
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +46
11Coral scored#24
39Coral points85
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
73Total teleop119
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#8
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points0
82Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.6
31.831.1
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3
blue by 25.7
62.71.8
56.258.0
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
Second
5499
#43
30.70.6
29.128.5
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End1.2
blue by 26.0
841
#20
56.61.8
55.056.8
Auto9.8
Teleop40.8
End6.1
Third
199
#8
24.90.6
25.424.7
Auto6.1
Teleop17.8
End1.0
blue by 1.2
4186
#35
26.11.8
31.533.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned