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Red75
58928.9
804521.6
1022112.2
Blue114
698530.9
97819.8
1050017.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77540204010012014075114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
50Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points30
75Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#40
28.90.4
30.830.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End7.8
blue by 2.0
6985
#28
30.91.5
25.727.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Second
8045
#46
21.60.7
18.918.1
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End2.6
red by 4.0
17.52.5
11.514.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.0
End1.5
Third
12.20.7
16.916.2
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End1.7
red by 2.4
9781
#42
9.82.5
11.413.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned