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Red168
128023.8
550764.3
641848.4
Blue112
255121.5
801632.3
592429.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317850100150200168112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+58Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +37
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
18Processor points12
32Net points8
50Algae points20
122Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#5
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
168Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.33.2
52.856.0
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
red by 31.9
8016
#38
32.31.8
32.934.8
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End2.3
Second
6418
#12
48.43.2
42.045.2
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
red by 19.0
5924
#15
29.41.8
25.727.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End3.2
Third
1280
#24
23.83.2
19.522.7
Auto4.3
Teleop17.2
End2.3
red by 2.3
2551
#45
21.51.8
20.522.4
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed