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Red129
255121.5
64933.2
128023.8
Blue113
911116.9
903848.3
947049.1
9%Model gave it91%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7712550100150200129113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+16
Endgame+2
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
12Processor points12
12Net points28
24Algae points40
79Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
18Foul points0
129Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#31
33.22.2
29.932.1
Auto8.5
Teleop22.5
End2.2
blue by 15.9
9470
#16
49.10.2
42.442.5
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End0.6
Second
1280
#24
23.82.2
22.724.9
Auto4.3
Teleop17.2
End2.3
blue by 24.5
9038
#29
48.30.2
48.348.5
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
Third
2551
#45
21.52.2
22.424.6
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End2.7
red by 4.6
9111
#34
16.90.3
17.117.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed