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Red122
641848.4
879338.4
911116.9
Blue147
427079.9
19924.9
804521.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10515250200250122147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
32Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
18Coral scored#17
66Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
86Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#11
5L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
122Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#12
48.41.4
45.446.8
Auto14.7
Teleop33.5
End0.1
blue by 31.5
79.90.9
77.478.3
Auto17.9
Teleop51.3
End10.7
Second
8793
#26
38.41.4
32.834.2
Auto11.6
Teleop22.6
End4.2
red by 13.5
199
#8
24.90.9
25.326.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.8
End1.0
Third
9111
#34
16.92.1
17.419.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 4.7
8045
#46
21.61.4
22.824.2
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned