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Red77
1020237.0
66817.1
476533.7
Blue26
1033915.8
255121.5
97819.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1054901507726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
14Coral scored#3
51Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
65Total teleop11
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
77Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.9
33.933.1
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3
red by 15.5
2551
#45
21.51.6
24.622.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End2.7
Second
4765
#37
33.70.9
37.236.3
Auto3.2
Teleop28.9
End1.6
red by 17.9
15.81.6
14.412.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Third
668
#17
17.10.9
18.717.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End5.0
red by 7.3
9781
#42
9.82.5
11.69.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed