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Red105
1024619.6
947049.1
128023.8
Blue76
418626.1
1022112.2
135149.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111305015020025030035010576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+23Teleop
+25Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +20
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
72Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points2
105Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9470
#16
49.10.7
42.543.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End0.6
blue by 0.5
1351
#18
49.61.6
51.349.7
Auto16.2
Teleop31.6
End1.7
Second
1280
#24
23.80.7
24.925.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.2
End2.3
blue by 2.3
4186
#35
26.11.6
32.330.7
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
Third
19.61.1
21.222.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 7.4
12.22.4
13.911.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed