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Red43
33909.1
920211.1
499027.5
Blue144
550764.3
549930.7
698530.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44137010015020043144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+89
Endgame+99
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +71
6Coral scored#22
23Coral points78
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
27Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#13
2L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points2
43Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4990
#32
27.50.4
27.427.0
Auto5.3
Teleop20.3
End1.9
blue by 36.8
64.31.9
57.459.3
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
Second
9202
#44
11.10.7
13.913.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.4
End1.3
blue by 19.8
6985
#28
30.91.9
27.629.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.7
End4.3
Third
3390
#53
9.10.7
8.17.3
Auto0.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 21.6
5499
#43
30.71.9
28.730.6
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned