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Red92
220441.0
466930.2
1025218.9
Blue58
497312.8
681431.7
912523.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887840601001201409258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
6Processor points0
24Net points8
30Algae points8
74Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points2
92Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2204
#36
41.01.1
35.736.9
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
red by 9.2
6814
#41
31.70.9
31.730.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.3
End1.3
Second
30.21.1
24.926.0
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End2.0
red by 6.8
9125
#39
23.30.9
22.621.7
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End0.4
Third
18.91.1
14.215.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End1.6
red by 6.1
4973
#54
12.80.9
14.914.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed