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Red185
1050017.5
623857.5
803377.4
Blue134
598519.9
186835.5
348249.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15810650200250185134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+29Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points36
37Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +31
26Coral scored#18
94Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
122Total teleop91
Reef
11L4#8
8L3#8
9L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
185Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.43.0
68.371.3
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
red by 27.6
3482
#14
49.81.9
47.449.3
Auto12.8
Teleop35.8
End1.3
Second
57.53.0
50.453.4
Auto8.1
Teleop41.5
End7.8
red by 22.0
1868
#11
35.51.9
35.337.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.8
End4.3
Third
17.54.9
14.018.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.0
End1.5
blue by 2.4
5985
#50
19.91.9
17.219.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed