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Red108
72459.4
623857.5
681431.7
Blue126
84156.6
214124.7
912523.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051130200300400500600700108126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points53
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#4
12Processor points30
20Net points16
32Algae points46
81Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points0
108Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.50.7
53.454.1
Auto8.1
Teleop41.5
End7.8
red by 0.8
841
#20
56.61.6
57.158.7
Auto9.8
Teleop40.8
End6.1
Second
6814
#41
31.70.7
30.831.5
Auto7.1
Teleop23.3
End1.3
red by 7.0
2141
#27
24.72.5
23.425.9
Auto6.8
Teleop16.7
End1.3
Third
7245
#51
9.40.7
10.811.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.2
blue by 13.9
9125
#39
23.31.6
21.723.3
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed