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Red156
186835.5
25490.2
58928.9
Blue119
592429.4
25322.4
903848.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1779650150200250156119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
6Leave0
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points18
44Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +5
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points69
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
96Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#6
6L2#5
7L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
156Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
90.20.7
87.887.2
Auto20.8
Teleop59.0
End10.5
red by 42.0
9038
#29
48.30.2
48.548.7
Auto14.5
Teleop32.4
End1.3
Second
1868
#11
35.50.7
37.236.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.8
End4.3
red by 6.1
5924
#15
29.40.2
29.429.7
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End3.2
Third
589
#40
28.90.7
31.731.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End7.8
red by 6.6
253
#25
22.40.2
20.520.7
Auto3.0
Teleop16.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed