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Red148
605925.9
285431.2
76651.7
Blue189
803377.4
97258.5
466930.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10416750150200250148189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+45
Endgame+47
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave3
5Coral scored#8
25Coral points41
25Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +26
15Coral scored#25
55Coral points89
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
24Processor points24
24Net points16
48Algae points40
103Total teleop129
Reef
8L4#12
6L3#13
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
6Foul points0
148Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#22
51.71.9
48.350.2
Auto7.4
Teleop38.4
End5.9
blue by 25.7
77.41.8
71.373.1
Auto21.1
Teleop48.4
End8.0
Second
2854
#21
31.21.9
28.730.7
Auto6.2
Teleop22.7
End2.3
blue by 27.3
972
#4
58.51.8
53.155.0
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Third
6059
#10
25.91.9
24.626.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.9
End1.8
blue by 4.3
30.21.8
26.027.8
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned