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Red75
912523.3
549930.7
66817.1
Blue62
476533.7
128023.8
804521.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811040501502007562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
62Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
75Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#43
30.70.0
30.630.7
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End1.2
blue by 3.0
4765
#37
33.71.8
36.334.5
Auto3.2
Teleop28.9
End1.6
Second
9125
#39
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End0.4
blue by 0.4
1280
#24
23.81.8
25.623.8
Auto4.3
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Third
668
#17
17.10.0
17.917.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End5.0
blue by 4.5
8045
#46
21.62.6
24.221.6
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed