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Red34
920211.1
255121.5
425516.0
Blue44
58928.9
418626.1
72459.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578902040801001201401603444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
4Coral scored#5
15Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
21Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
34Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#45
21.51.5
22.921.5
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End2.7
blue by 7.5
589
#40
28.92.2
31.128.9
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End7.8
Second
4255
#49
16.01.5
17.516.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.7
blue by 10.1
4186
#35
26.12.2
30.728.6
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
Third
9202
#44
11.12.1
13.311.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.4
End1.3
red by 1.7
7245
#51
9.42.2
11.69.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed