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Red80
1050017.5
605925.9
220441.0
Blue91
801632.3
84156.6
19924.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85132501001502008091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+7
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
57Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points4
80Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2204
#36
41.00.2
38.338.2
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.6
blue by 15.6
841
#20
56.62.2
58.756.5
Auto9.8
Teleop40.8
End6.1
Second
6059
#10
25.90.2
26.626.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.9
End1.8
blue by 6.4
8016
#38
32.32.2
34.532.3
Auto4.9
Teleop25.1
End2.3
Third
17.50.3
17.817.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.0
End1.5
blue by 7.4
199
#8
24.92.2
26.224.1
Auto6.1
Teleop17.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed