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Red29
497312.8
417112.8
418626.1
Blue67
214124.7
476533.7
1033915.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66880501001502002967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+42
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points2
29Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4186
#35
26.12.5
28.626.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5
blue by 7.6
4765
#37
33.70.8
34.533.7
Auto3.2
Teleop28.9
End1.6
Second
4973
#54
12.82.5
15.312.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End-0.1
blue by 11.9
2141
#27
24.71.1
25.924.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.7
End1.3
Third
4171
#48
12.83.6
16.412.8
Auto5.8
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 3.0
15.80.8
16.515.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed