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Red188
541962.7
1020237.0
550764.3
Blue177
947049.1
466930.2
348249.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166127100150200250188177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
9Coral scored#10
45Coral points48
51Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +10
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points77
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
113Total teleop123
Reef
12L4#11
8L3#10
7L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#41
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
188Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.8
60.961.7
Auto19.3
Teleop37.1
End7.9
red by 14.5
3482
#14
49.81.2
47.748.9
Auto12.8
Teleop35.8
End1.3
Second
62.70.8
59.360.1
Auto13.9
Teleop40.0
End8.8
red by 13.6
9470
#16
49.11.2
47.048.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End0.6
Third
37.00.8
33.634.4
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End1.3
red by 6.8
30.21.2
28.129.3
Auto5.9
Teleop22.3
End2.0